Wednesday, November 11, 2015

Strategic voting and the systemic devaluing of choice

There are many problems that arise with the current first-past-the-post electoral system, one of which is that it encourages strategic voting. Strategic voting causes people to not vote for the candidate or platform that is most representative of how they think and believe that the country should go forward. Instead they vote for a candidate who they think is capable of winning a seat. That tendency is exaggerated when there is a situation like the one Canada is in right now, where we might again have a government that is supported by a surprisingly small segment of the population. This means that even when the party you voted for gets into power, that government is still not ‘your’ government. In this situation, even when we win we lose.

This also sends a message to the parties and the rest of the population that you support a certain vision and platform when this may not be the case. When you toss your ballot to the challenger party in the hope that they will edge out the hated party, no one can tell that you are voting against a platform instead of for a platform. Party leaders assume they know something about your convictions based on your vote. When standard party modus operandi is to appeal to the most people so as to garner the most votes … Well, your original problem is compounded. The platform you liked could not possibly win, and now that platform is de-emphasized as parties scramble to offer you more of what you actually voted for.

Strategic voting thus causes a bias against the newer, smaller or more radical parties and concentrates power into the hands of a few major parties.

Voting by strategy also causes a polling problem. A poll comes out that spurs people to vote strategically, and suddenly we do not have a proper democratic system anymore. Pollsters should not have the power and means to effect an election. We also have to remember that polls are wrong — by their very nature they cannot be accurate. They are the opinions of a small selection of people which may be distorted by numerous errors in the collecting process. That sample is run through complicated algorithms and presented as a clear portrait of reality. Remember the situation of the 2000 US election? Gore was announced as winner before all the votes had been cast and counted, only for it to be revealed hours later that it was actually Bush who had won. Pollsters had gotten it wrong.

This is a problem even when polls are nonpartisan. However, what happens when these polls begin to be designed to produce a certain outcome? Or even where individual pollsters start misreporting data gathered? Right now we are giving undue power to an at best incomplete picture and opening the doors for polls to profit from unethical actions.

We need to keep votes from being ‘thrown away’ on a candidate and platform that gets no representation in government even though they are capable of garnering 10% of the popular vote. (Yes, that was a shoutout to the Green Party.) We need the government to have these voices in it, to have a true representation of Canadians and their ideas. We need the system to take the ideas of the small parties seriously, especially when these parties are capable of getting such support in the face of a system that is stacked so completely against them. We need to celebrate these voices, and we need to bring them to the table. If we need to change the system so that we can include them, then let us change the system. Well we can do that, the NDP wants to do that, the Green Party wants to do that, and so do the Liberals, kind of. We all despise a system that ignores its population. It is time for change.

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